Payments on account explained: why your January tax bill can be double what you expected
If you have just filed your first Self Assessment return and the amount HMRC wants looks far bigger than the tax you owe, payments on account are almost certainly why. This post explains how they work, when they apply, and what you can do if the numbers feel wrong.
Payments on account are one of the most common sources of genuine shock for people who are new to Self Assessment. You do your sums, you work out roughly what you owe, and then HMRC presents you with a figure that is anything up to twice as large. It is not a mistake. It is the system working exactly as designed — it just was not explained to you first.
The short version: payments on account explained means that HMRC asks you to pay your current year’s tax bill and make advance payments towards the following year, all wrapped into the same January deadline. Once you understand the logic behind it, the numbers make sense. What does not always make sense is the timing — and that is where a little forward planning goes a long way.
What payments on account actually are
When you owe tax through Self Assessment, HMRC assumes your income is broadly similar from one year to the next. Rather than waiting until January 2027 to collect your 2026/27 tax in full, it asks you to make two advance payments — one in January and one in July — each worth half of your previous year’s tax bill. These are payments on account.
So if your 2025/26 tax bill came to £4,000, HMRC would also ask you to pay £2,000 on 31 January 2026 and a further £2,000 on 31 July 2026 as advance payments towards 2026/27. If your actual 2026/27 liability turns out to be more than £4,000, you pay the difference — called a balancing payment — the following January. If it is less, you get a refund or a credit against your next bill.
For the self-employed, payments on account include Class 4 National Insurance contributions as well as Income Tax — so the advance payment covers your full Self Assessment liability, not just the income tax portion. It is worth knowing this because it is easy to underestimate the total if you are only thinking about income tax.
When do payments on account apply?
Not everyone has to make payments on account. HMRC applies two tests. If you pass either of them, you are off the hook for advance payments — at least for that year.
- Your previous year’s Self Assessment tax liability was less than £1,000. Below this threshold, HMRC considers the amounts too small to warrant an instalment system.
- More than 80% of your tax was collected at source. If most of your income is taxed through PAYE — say you have a salaried job alongside some freelance work — HMRC may already have collected the bulk of what you owe, so advance payments are not required.
If neither of those applies, you are in the payments on account system. The deadlines are fixed: 31 January and 31 July each year. Missing either one triggers interest — currently 7.75% on late amounts as of January 2026, which adds up quickly if you leave a large balance unpaid for several months.
One thing we see regularly: people who move from employment to self-employment mid-year, or who have a particularly good year, suddenly find themselves caught by the threshold for the first time. The jump from owing nothing to owing 150% of one year’s tax in a single January can feel brutal. It is entirely manageable with planning — but not if it catches you by surprise.
The January bill that shocks most first-year sole traders is not a mistake. It is two tax years’ worth of liability colliding on the same deadline — and it is entirely avoidable with the right preparation.
Can you reduce your payments on account?
Yes — and this is genuinely useful to know. If you expect your income to be lower in the coming year, you can apply to reduce your payments on account to reflect that. You can do this through your HMRC online account or by submitting a paper form (SA303).
This is a legitimate tool. If you have had a good year but know the following year will be quieter — a contract ended, you took time off, your business model changed — there is no sense in overpaying and waiting for a refund. Apply to reduce, pay what you actually expect to owe, and avoid tying up cash unnecessarily.
The important caveat: HMRC can charge interest if you reduce your payments more than was genuinely justified. If your actual liability turns out to be higher than you claimed it would be, interest runs on the underpaid amount at the current late payment rate. This is not usually a problem when the reduction is based on a real expectation. It becomes a problem when people reduce their payments on account speculatively — to ease cashflow in the short term — without a genuine basis for expecting lower income.
We tend to advise clients to make a realistic forecast before deciding to reduce. A rough projection is far better than guessing, and it means you can defend the decision if HMRC ever queries it.
The balancing payment most people forget about
Even when clients understand payments on account in principle, the balancing payment catches them out in practice. Here is the scenario we see most often.
Someone pays their two instalments on time — January and July. They assume that is them done. Then the following January arrives, and on top of the next round of payments on account, they also owe a balancing payment for the year just ended, because their actual tax bill came in higher than their advance payments covered.
That January deadline therefore contains three amounts at once: the balancing payment for the year just closed, the first payment on account for the current year, and sometimes an adjusted amount if their circumstances changed. It is a lot of money leaving your account on the same day.
The practical answer is to set money aside throughout the year — not just near the deadlines. At DG Accountancy, we help clients model their expected liability early in the tax year so that January never feels like a crisis. Knowing what is coming three months out is very different from finding out when the bill arrives.
If your tax position is complex — multiple income streams, rental income, investment gains — this kind of forward visibility matters even more. A proactive accountant should be flagging these things before the deadline, not after.
What the future might look like for Self Assessment payments
It is worth being aware that HMRC is actively consulting on what it calls ‘timely payments’ for Income Tax Self Assessment. The proposal, which could come into effect from around April 2029, would move some taxpayers towards more regular in-year payments — potentially collecting some Self Assessment tax through PAYE where possible — rather than relying on the current twice-yearly instalment system.
The stated aim is to reduce ‘bill shock’ — the same problem this post addresses. The concern raised by some practitioners is that basing payments on forecasts rather than actual liabilities could create its own complications, particularly for businesses with variable income.
Nothing is finalised yet, and 2029 is a reasonable distance away. But if you are self-employed or running a business with personal tax obligations, it is worth staying across these consultations. The way you manage your cashflow and tax planning today could look different in a few years’ time — and the earlier you build good habits around forecasting your liability, the better placed you will be regardless of how the rules evolve.
For now, the current system applies. Two payments a year, clear deadlines, and the option to reduce if your circumstances genuinely change.
Our take
Payments on account are one of those areas where the mechanics are straightforward once someone walks you through them, but genuinely alarming if you encounter them for the first time on a tax bill. Understanding how the system works — the 50% calculation, the January and July deadlines, the balancing payment, and the option to reduce — puts you back in control.
If you are newly self-employed, have recently crossed the £1,000 threshold, or have had a significantly different year to the one before, it is worth getting ahead of your liability before the January deadline rather than reacting to it. That is the kind of practical, forward-looking support we provide at DG Accountancy — and if your Self Assessment position feels complicated, we are happy to talk it through.
Common questions about payments on account
When are payments on account due each year?
Payments on account are due by midnight on 31 January and 31 July each year. The January deadline also coincides with any balancing payment for the previous tax year, which is why the total amount due in January can be significantly higher than people expect.
How is each payment on account calculated?
Each payment on account is 50% of your previous year’s total Self Assessment liability, which includes Income Tax and, if you are self-employed, Class 4 National Insurance. So if you owed £6,000 last year, you would make two advance payments of £3,000 each.
Do I have to make payments on account every year?
Not necessarily. If your previous year’s Self Assessment liability was less than £1,000, or if more than 80% of your tax was collected at source through PAYE, payments on account are not required. These thresholds are assessed each time you file, so your obligation can change year to year.
What happens if I overpay through payments on account?
If your actual tax bill turns out to be lower than your advance payments, HMRC will either refund the difference or apply it as a credit against your next bill. HMRC pays repayment interest on overpaid amounts — currently 2.75% as of January 2026, which is modest, so overpaying is generally worth avoiding where possible.
Can I reduce my payments on account if my income drops?
Yes. If you genuinely expect your income to be lower than the previous year, you can apply to reduce your payments on account through your HMRC online account or via form SA303. Be aware that if your actual liability is higher than you claimed, interest will run on the underpaid amount at the current late payment rate.